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Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2

at ACMETCG Store Championship

decks
1 (6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 1-5-0
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
36.7% avg ELO -7.1 per match
expected value
38.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1063 · median 1063 · range 1063–1063 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1037 Q1 1213 Q3 1365 1563
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Rile 43.8% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 37.8% -11.7
Fire Crux Mage 18.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.7% -11.7
Wind Shadowstrike 18.8% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 52.1% +2.1
Fire Aetherwing 6.2% 0
Fire Aggro 6.2% 0
Fire Arcane 6.2% 0
Fire Oblation 6.2% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 6.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.7% -11.6
Wind Allies 6.2% 0
Wind Lorraine 6.2% 0
Wind Seiryuu 6.2% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 6.2% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/32197/archetypes/Fire Firebloom Burn